Sunday, March 20, 2011

Ultra-fragmentation comes in all shapes and ages

A theme I have been developing in my conference sessions is the ultra-fragmentation of the UK by income and geography and with the older age groups fragmenting into the Charmed and the Anxious Generation.

On a global scale the world is experiencing its own ultra-fragmentation into young and old societies.

Just read this quote from Insead.

In the last 30 years, the number of Arabs has more than doubled, surging from 173 million in 1980 to 352.2 million in 2009. According to the United Nations, assuming that fertility levels continue to decline, the total population of the Arab region is projected to reach 428.4 million by 2020. The majority of these are under the age 24 and live in cities. The “youth bulge” is expected to increase to 73 million in 2015. This is important as some studies suggest that countries where young adults make up more than 40 per cent of the working age population are more likely to experience armed conflict than countries with lower proportions of youth.

Makes you think doesn’t it. Just imagine what these countries will look like in 50 years time when this youth bulge becomes an Arab Boomer Generation. Dick Stroud

No comments: